‘Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future.’

Watts Up With That?

CMIP5-73-models-vs-obs-20N-20S-MT-5-yr-means1[1] An example of predictions gone wrong That headline is attributed to physicist Niels Bohr, but a later more popular version is attributed to Yogi Berra.

But. like predicting the future, it seems that the true provenence is murky.

That said, whether you are making climate predictions, or predictions about what kind of car and highway you’ll be driving in 20 years, predictions about the future are indeed difficult. I stumbled on this film from 1956 today by accident, and I just had to laugh at how far off the mark it was. It made me think of climate science and it’s failed predictions we see in the graph in the upper right.

అసలు టపాను చూడండి 55 more words



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